Where Angles Fear to Tread

May 6, 2010

First votes are in…

Filed under: Liveblogging, Politics, UK Politics — Tags: , — Obtuse Angle @ 10:07 pm

… and Houghton and Sunderland returns the Labour candidate, as expected. The swing is 8.4%, but with 7% going to an independent who is upset about a quarry, we can read even less into this than normal. Of course, that’s not going to stop us, the BBC, and all and sundry specuating wildly on it.

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Exit Polls

Filed under: Liveblogging, Politics, UK Politics — Tags: , — Right Angle @ 9:01 pm

Cons: 307; Lab: 255; LibDem: 55

No overall control. However these are exit polls from BBC (and a broken tv set). How much can we trust exit polls? Not at all!

So let’s wait for the real election results before we start panicing.

Right Angle

Predictions

Filed under: Liveblogging, Politics, UK Politics — Tags: , — Right Angle @ 8:38 pm

In anticipation of 10pm, some possibly results:

  • Labour Majority – highly unlikely – Brown stays in number 10 (for about 2 weeks) and is then kicked out. New election follows shortly.
  • Large Conservative Majority – as ‘slightly’ right-wing let’s hope. Hopefully Cameron recalls the difficult decisions made in the 80s and repeats most of them.
  • Small Conservative Majority – Highly likely and potential problems associated with this with some of the more ‘extreme’ elements of the Tory party holding sway over the rest of the party.
  • Small Conservative Minority – Highly likely and very risky with the potential small parties having says. New election shortly after May.
  • Conservative Minority + Lib Dems – Likely with Clegg in the lead. Could go horribly wrong, or gorgeously right.
  • Labour Minority + Lib Dems – Aaargh…! Disaster much in the scale of Greece (not quite that bad). Highly unlikely and if Clegg decides to join Labour there will be no Brown, and another election before November 2010.

Right Angle

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